The IMF has warned the US that its massive fiscal deficits have stoked inflation and pose “significant risks” for the global economy.
The fund said in its benchmark Fiscal Monitor that it expected the US to record a fiscal deficit of 7.1 per cent next year — more than three times the 2 per cent average for other advanced economies.
It also raised concerns over Chinese government debt, with the country set to record a deficit of 7.6 per cent in 2025 — more than double the 3.7 per cent average for other emerging markets — as Beijing copes with weak demand and a housing crisis.
The US and China were among four countries the fund named that “critically need to take policy action to address fundamental imbalances between spending and revenues”. The others were the UK and Italy.
Rampant spending by the US and China in particular could “have profound effects for the global economy and pose significant risks for baseline fiscal projections in other economies”, the IMF said.
The assessment comes amid mounting concerns among economists and investors that 2025 will prove a crunch year for US fiscal policy.
The presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has pledged to make his 2017 tax cuts permanent, a move the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget think-tank expects to cost $5tn over the next decade. Democrats have been accused by Republicans and economists of doing too little to cut “discretionary spending” on healthcare and social security.
On Tuesday, IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said… Čitaj više
@ISIDEWITH6mos6MO
Uzimajući u obzir potencijalne globalne utjecaje američkog duga, koliko bi to trebale uzeti u obzir pojedinačne financijske odluke i ponašanje potrošača?
@ISIDEWITH6mos6MO
Kako vas ideja da financijske odluke neke zemlje mogu izazvati svjetske ekonomske probleme navodi na razmišljanje o globalnoj međusobnoj povezanosti?
@ISIDEWITH6mos6MO
Biste li podržali veće poreze ili smanjenu državnu potrošnju ako bi to značilo stabilizaciju gospodarstva zemlje i zaštitu globalnog financijskog zdravlja?
@ISIDEWITH6mos6MO
Kakvu moralnu odgovornost, ako je uopće imaju, zemlje imaju za održavanje financijske stabilnosti kako bi izbjegle negativan utjecaj na globalno gospodarstvo?
@ISIDEWITH6mos6MO
Kako biste se osjećali da novac koji danas uštedite brže gubi vrijednost zbog duga druge zemlje?